US-China Relations in the 21st Century: Prospect and Retrospect
Relations between the United States and China are at their lowest point in many decades. What is the outlook for the bilateral relationship over the next four years? Will the new administration in Washington bring change? Will the absence of leadership change in Beijing produce continuity? Individual national leaders can exert considerable agency, but they do not operate in a vacuum. While Donald Trump and Xi Jinping each possess strong-willed personalities and driving ambitions, both will be constrained by domestic pressures, impacted by economic forces, and subjected to external shocks.