Translation Matters: Problems of Inference in Assessments of China's Intentions

As the US gears up for the 'great power competition' with China, accurate translation of Chinese sources is increasingly important. Different translations can lead to different inferences about intentions, which in turn can affect policy analysis. In this talk Professor Johnston looks at a key inference in recent US policy documents about China’s long-term intentions, an inference that is based, in part, on a problematic translation and decontextualization of key phrases in a speech by China’s leader, Xi Jinping.

Can Americans Depolarize? Assessing the Effects of Reciprocal Group Reflection on Partisan Polarization

Overcoming America’s deep partisan polarization poses a unique challenge: Americans must be able to disagree on policy while nonetheless agreeing on more fundamental democratic principles. We study one model of depolarization—reciprocal group reflection—inspired by marital counseling and implemented by a non-governmental organization, Braver Angels. We randomly assigned undergraduate students at four universities in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, South, and Midwest either to participate in a Braver Angels workshop or simply to complete three rounds of surveys.

POSTPONED - Economic reforms in Angola: the Government’s perspective (Online Only)

In this event, Minister Daves and Governor Massano will be discussing, with Professor Ricardo Soares de Oliveira, the state of Angola’s economy, relations with the International Monetary Fund, and the economic and financial sector policies pursued under the current administration.

This talk is in conjunction with the Oxford Martin Programme on African Governance.

The Estate Origins of Democracy in Russia: From Imperial Bourgeoisie to Post-Communist Middle-Class

The talk is based on a chapter discussing the links between pre-communist social structure and post-communist voting patterns among the middle class from her forthcoming book The Estate Origins of Democracy in Russia: From Imperial Bourgeoisie to Post-Communist Middle-Class (coming out with Cambridge University Press in 2022). The book departs from classic accounts in historical political economy and comparative politics that analyze the significance of the bourgeoisie from the perspective of coalitional dynamics and role in genesis of particular orders—democracy or autocracy.
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