Discussant: Ebenezer Azamati

Christo Grozev is lead Russia investigator with Bellingcat, an investigative journalism website that specialises in fact-checking and open-source intelligence. He will offer insights from Bellingcat’s work during the Ukraine crisis. Christo’s work focuses on security threats, extraterritorial clandestine operations, and the weaponisation of information. His investigations into the identity of the suspects in the 2018 Novichok poisonings in the UK earned him and his team the European Prize for Investigative Journalism.

This series is an opportunity for DPIR DPhils to present their work in progress and gather feedback.

zoom.us/j/97023514597?pwd=c01kNms5b1JJQlR4c21zTitOOFhjZz09

While dislike of opposing parties, i.e., affective polarization, is a defining feature of contemporary politics, research on this topic largely centers on the United States. We introduce an approach that analyzes affective polarization between pairs of parties, bridging the US two-party system and multiparty systems in other democracies. Our analyses of survey data from 20 Western democracies demonstrate that affective polarization is closely linked with patterns of electoral representation: that is, who serves in office and electoral system proportionality.

In armed conflicts across the globe, the loci of violence change over time, including across state borders. Nonetheless, both academic and policy analyses are typically still guided by static units of analysis and hence fail to capture spatial change in conflict. What explains change in the territorial scope and location of violent events in a single setting of armed conflict? We argue that shifts in two factors contribute to patterns in spatial change across conflicts: the relative strength of the state actor and whether there is a change in the conflict’s dominant actors.

China's open ambition to become a global AI superpower has attracted considerable policy, media and academic attention. This talk will focus on national strategy, security and governance aspects of China's AI approach. It will discuss why China's AI approach is sophisticated and multifaced, and how it has brought about both considerable benefits and challenges to China.

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Discussant: Samuel Ritholtz

Award-winning cartoonist Maddo has produced social and political commentary in the form of visual art for the past three decades at Kenya's The Standard newspaper.