Security Threats and Support for the Far Right: Evidence from Russian Aggression in Europe
This paper examines whether external security threats reduce popular support for far-right parties, focusing on Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Existing scholarship suggests that such threats should weaken extremist parties by generating rally effects, shifting attention to foreign policy, and increasing demand for experienced leadership. Contrary to these expectations, descriptive trends show that far-right support in Western Europe increased following the invasion. We examine this question through two studies.