Join us for an expert talk on Highly Autonomous Cyber-Capable Agents (HACCAs), examining how offensive cyber capabilities in frontier AI models are advancing at speed. In a matter of months, systems have moved from near-zero to meaningful success on expert-level security challenges, with leading developers already triggering internal cybersecurity risk thresholds.

Is nuclear conflict manageable, or does any use of nuclear weapons inexorably push states toward escalation? And how do these dynamics differ between nuclear- and conventional-armed attacks? Many theorists have considered these questions, but empirically answering them is difficult given the absence of historical data. We address this challenge by fielding a pre-registered experimental survey of American adults designed around a series of hypothetical vignettes featuring attacks on the United States.

TBC

The Oxford Computational Political Science Group (OCPSG) is pleased to announce its speaker event w/ Prof Cheryl Schonhardt-Bailey, FBA and Amara Otero-Salgado. They will be presenting their paper 'Measuring Empirically the Legal Conflicts over U.S. Public Lands from 1960 to 2024'. It seeks to better understand how conflicting views over public lands have evolved over time, namely by examining empirically a newly developed dataset to assess competing narratives that have driven legal battles in the U.S. in the modern era of environmental policy.