Campaign Without End? The Future of Western Overseas Counter-Terrorism Intervention

Since the tragic events of 9/11, Western armies and security forces, alongside numerous allies, have been conducting sustained efforts, including interventions into more localised and regional conflicts, in the name of overseas counter-terrorism.  Starting against Al-Qaeda and then to include the newer Islamic State, such international efforts against these two trans-national groups have enjoyed mixed results.  This talk will consider the balance sheet as it stands today – including a view on current strengths and weaknesses of AQ and IS, the merits of Western strategy and operations

COVID-19 and Intergenerational Conflict

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19 in the absence of a vaccine, governments around the globe have resorted to non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as physical distancing, quarantining and lockdowns. While these measures have sound epidemiological foundations, they have brought generational tensions to the fore. COVID-19 poses a significantly higher risk to the elderly, yet non-pharmaceutical interventions and associated economic ramifications place a heavier burden on younger generations.

“Reinvigorating Local News,” from News Hole: The Demise of Local News and Political Engagement – and What We Can Do about It (co-authored with Danny Hayes).

Local news is dying – and publishers are struggling financially – because many consumers, given other options, have stopped paying attention to it. Accordingly, any long-term solution to the industry’s financial crisis must include reinvigorating Americans’ demand for local public affairs content. We suggest a demand-side approach that capitalizes on the fact that many Americans actually have favorable attitudes toward local news and local politics – at least in the abstract.

Racial Discrimination Against Blacks in the United States

In this article, we present the results from a novel large-scale field experimental technique designed to measure racial bias among the American public and their elected officials. We conducted the first audit study on the public—sending correspondence to 250,000 randomly- drawn citizens—and also paired that with the largest audit study of public officials to date. Our within-subjects experimental design tested the public’s and their elected officials’ responsiveness to simple requests for help from either an ostensibly Black or an ostensibly White sender.

Russian Military Modernisation: Progress and Ambitions

After sustained investment and reform Moscow has overhauled its conventional armed forces and shown a willingness to use this capability. Recapitalisation is on a Russian, not a Soviet scale, but Moscow now possesses smaller, better equipped and increasingly professional forces. Investment in conventional weaponry has occurred in parallel to modernising its nuclear delivery systems.
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