Dr Stephen Fishers research quoted in The Independent

An article in The Independent (12 April) on opinion polls notes that Stephen Fisher has calculated that ‘in the average pre-election period since 1950 there has been a swing of 4½ points back to the governing party.'

'That would turn the present Labour lead into a Tory lead of 5 points – enough for the Tories to remain the largest party, but not enough for a majority.’

The full article can be read here: http://blogs.independent.co.uk/2014/04/12/labours-vanishing-lead/