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Raymond Duch

Raymond Duch


Director of Centre for Experimental Social Sciences, Fellow of Nuffield College
Comparative Politics and Government, Research Methods
01865 278515
Nuffield College

Raymond Duch is an Official Fellow at Nuffield College, University of Oxford, and the Director of the Nuffield Centre for Experimental Social Sciences (CESS), which currently has centres in Oxford, Santiago (Chile) and Pune (India). Prior to assuming these positions he was the Senator Don Henderson Scholar in Political Science at the University of Houston. He is currently the Long Term Visiting Professor at the Institute for Advanced Studies, Toulouse School of Economics, a Director of the European Political Science Association, and Vice-President of the Midwest Political Science Association. He is a member of the UK Cabinet Office Cross-Whitehall Trial Advice Panel to offer Whitehall departments technical support in designing and implementing controlled experiments to assess policy effectiveness. Professor Duch’s research focuses on responsibility attribution, incorporating elements of theory, experiments and analysis of public opinion. In 2008 he published an award-winning book, The Economic Vote, that demonstrates that citizens hold political parties accountable for economic outcomes. His experiments have identified the information shortcuts that individuals deploy for responsibility attribution. More recently, Professor Duch has conducted experimental research into cheating, exploring its implications for tax compliance, corruption and economic performance. Professor Duch has conducted lab, field and online experiments throughout the world He lectures and also publishes on experimental methods. His research appears in the leading political science and economic journals. He is the founder of Behavioural Analytics that advises public and private clients.


A Comprehensive Comparison of Students and Non-students in Classic Experimental Games” (with Michele Belot and Luis Miller). Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (2015), 113:26-33.

Raymond M. Duch, Wojtek Przepiorka and Randy Stevenson. “Responsibility Attribution for Collective Decision Makers.” American Journal of Political Science (2015) 59(2):372-389.

Shanto Iyengar et al (including Raymond Duch) “Do Attitudes About Immigration Predict Willingness to Admit Individual Immigrants? A Cross-National Test of the Person-Positivity Bias.” Public Opinion Quarterly (2013) 77(3):641-665.

Raymond M. Duch and Inaki Sagarzazu. “Election Campaigns, Public Opinion and the Financial Crisis of 2008-2010 in the U.K. and Germany” in Nancy Bermeo and Larry M. Bartels,eds. Mass Politics in Tough Times: Opinion, Votes and Protest in the Great Recession. Russell Sage Foundation and Oxford University Press. 2013.

Raymond M. Duch and Randy Stevenson. “Voter Perceptions of Agenda Power and Attribution of Responsibility for Economic Performance.” Electoral Studies (2013) 32:512-516.

Randy Stevenson and Raymond M. Duch “The Meaning and Use of Subjective Perceptions in Models of Economic Voting.” Electoral Studies (2013) 32(2): 305-320.

Raymond M. Duch and Paul Kellstedt.  “The Heterogeneity of Consumer Sentiment in an Increasingly Homogeneous Global Economy.” Electoral Studies (September 2011) 30(3):399-405.

Raymond M. Duch and Randy Stevenson. “Context and Economic Expectations: When Do

Voters get it Right?” British Journal of Political Science (January 2011) 41:1-31.

Raymond M. Duch, Jeff May and David Armstrong. “Coalition-Directed Voting in Multi-Party Democracies.” American Political Science Review (November 2010) 104(4): 698-719.

David Armstrong and Raymond M. Duch. “Why can Voters Anticipate Post-election Coalition

Formation Likelihoods” Electoral Studies (2010) 29(3): 308-315.

Raymond M. Duch and Randy Stevenson. “The Global Economy, Competency and the Economic Vote.” Journal of Politics (January, 2010) 72(1): 105-123.

The Economic Vote: How Political and Economic Institutions Condition Election Results.

Cambridge University Press (2008) (with Randy Stevenson).

Raymond M. Duch and Randy Stevenson. “Assessing the Magnitude of the Economic Vote over Time and Across Nations” Electoral Studies (September 2006) 25(3):528-47.